FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis

FC Lugano Luzern
73 ELO 74
-3.8% Tilt 8%
313º General ELO ranking 293º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.9%
FC Lugano
26%
Draw
35.1%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.1%
Win probability
Luzern
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Lugano
-11%
-6%
Luzern

ELO progression

FC Lugano
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2019
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
63%
21%
17%
73 84 11 0
14 Sep. 2019
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
37%
25%
38%
75 72 3 -2
01 Sep. 2019
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
71%
18%
11%
75 85 10 0
25 Aug. 2019
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
38%
25%
36%
75 71 4 0
16 Aug. 2019
CON
Concordia Basel
0 - 5
FC Lugano
LUG
5%
11%
83%
76 15 61 -1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2019
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 4
Luzern
FCL
8%
14%
79%
74 48 26 0
01 Sep. 2019
FCL
Luzern
2 - 2
Young Boys
YOB
16%
22%
62%
73 87 14 +1
25 Aug. 2019
SIO
Sion
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
44%
26%
31%
74 76 2 -1
18 Aug. 2019
CAL
Calcio Kreuzlingen
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
2%
5%
94%
74 30 44 0
15 Aug. 2019
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
59%
22%
19%
75 85 10 -1