FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 4
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
LUG
1%
4%
95%
|
77 | 12 | 65 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |