FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 3
LUG
6%
12%
81%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 2
LUG
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 2
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ECH
2 - 3
FCL
6%
11%
83%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 1
YOB
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 0
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |