FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
23%
47%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 0
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 0
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 2
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 2
S04
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 0
KAI
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
VFR
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |