FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 3
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 0
DEL
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
STG
2 - 0
FCL
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
FCL
1 - 4
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |