FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
LUG
0 - 3
SIO
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1988 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 2
GCZ
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
FCL
2 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
FCL
1 - 3
YOB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |