FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
YFJ
3 - 2
LUG
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 1
BEL
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
LAC
2 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WOH
0 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAU
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
FCV
5 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
YVE
4 - 2
FCV
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCV
2 - 2
KRI
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
ESC
1 - 3
FCV
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCV
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |