FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LOC
3 - 0
LUG
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
THU
32%
25%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCV
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |