FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 3
SIO
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STA
0 - 1
LUG
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 3
LUG
9%
14%
77%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
DEL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BIE
7 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
KRI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |