FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 2
NEX
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
YOB
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 2
BIF
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |