FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
0 - 0
STG
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
LAU
4 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCA
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
FCA
5 - 1
GCZ
31%
30%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |