FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1995 |
NEX
5 - 2
LUG
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 0
LAU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 1
LUG
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 1
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |