FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 3
YVE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |