FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCW
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SER
0 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
FCA
0 - 2
GCZ
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 1
YOB
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |