Swiss Super League PO Final Final
Global 1-5
FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
VEV
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1987 |
VEV
1 - 1
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +15 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
GCZ
4 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
LAC
2 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 6
FCA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCM
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1987 |
STG
3 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |