FC Lugano vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 3
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 1
LAU
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DEL
1 - 0
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
BAU
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CON
4 - 0
YVE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
KRI
2 - 1
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CON
1 - 2
WOH
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |