FC Lugano vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
WOH
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
KRI
1 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAU
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 0
LUG
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 2
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
FCL
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CON
1 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
WOH
1 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |