FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
BIE
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 3
BEL
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
SCH
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
WIL
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
FCV
3 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BIE
5 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |