FC Lugano vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEO
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 4
THU
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 1
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
44%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
CLU
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CLU
3 - 0
PAK
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CLU
2 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
0 - 0
CLU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
CLU
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |