FC Lugano vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
5º
5º
61
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
44%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SER
4 - 1
LUG
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
YOB
6 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SER
0 - 0
YOB
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LAU
3 - 2
YOB
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BIE
1 - 0
YOB
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |