FC Lugano vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
WOH
65%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
BIE
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
BEL
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 4
BIE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BIE
4 - 1
KRI
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
BIE
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |