FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SIO
3 - 2
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LAC
1 - 7
LUG
4%
12%
84%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
STG
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUG
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
HIF
3 - 1
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
59%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
HIF
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FSN
0 - 7
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |