FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
EIN
0 - 3
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |