FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 4
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |