FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
2 - 1
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STG
2 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
LUG
4%
10%
86%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
YOB
7 - 1
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
2 - 7
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |