FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
7 - 0
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 6
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SEV
3 - 0
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |