FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 3
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LUG
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
4 - 5
GCZ
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |