FC Lugano vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 0
LUG
12%
21%
68%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 0
KRI
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 0
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
MEY
1 - 3
LUG
13%
22%
66%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 0
CON
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SIO
4 - 0
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WOH
3 - 2
BAD
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
BAU
2 - 0
BAD
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 1
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |