FC Lugano vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2000 |
LAU
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
4 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 3
SIO
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 3
LUG
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |