Lugano II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
2º
53
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
LUG
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 2
LUG
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TUG
0 - 2
FCW
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 2
TUG
23%
21%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 3
TUG
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
UZW
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |