Lugano II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 3
UZW
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
5 - 3
LUG
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIN
31%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
TUG
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TUG
3 - 1
UZW
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 0
TUG
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TUG
6 - 3
STG
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
TUG
38%
22%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |