Lugano II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 2
LUG
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
SCB
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 1
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 2
BUO
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 1
TUG
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 2
LUZ
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 0
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TUG
5 - 0
FCG
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BUO
2 - 2
TUG
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |