Lugano II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LUG
6 - 0
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 3
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 2
SAR
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 1
RSZ
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
TUG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUG
1 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KRE
1 - 2
TUG
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 1
GCB
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |