Lugano II vs Servette II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DEL
5 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
ETO
16%
22%
61%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAV
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 2
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Servette II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
SCB
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SER
2 - 3
KRI
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
1 - 3
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
ETO
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 3
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |