Lugano II vs SC Bruhl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAD
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 3
KRI
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
MEN
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 2
YOU
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 7
LUG
11%
16%
73%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUL
2 - 3
SCB
41%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 4
VEV
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
SCB
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |