Lugano II vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 4
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 5
ESC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
HOC
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAR
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
GOL
11%
15%
73%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
20%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |