Lugano II vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCZ
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
4 - 3
BIE
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SCB
2 - 1
LUG
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 2
BRE
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAD
1 - 0
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
3 - 1
YOU
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BUL
1 - 2
RAP
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
3 - 0
VEV
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DEL
2 - 1
RAP
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |