Lugano II vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
52%
22%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
LUG
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
SOL
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 3
BIE
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HON
1 - 3
RAP
12%
17%
71%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
SCB
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
RAP
43%
23%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
5 - 1
RAP
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |