Lugano II vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
BRU
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
PER
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
PER
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
IBA
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HER
5 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |