Lugano II vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
DIE
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCM
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MEN
0 - 0
GRA
39%
25%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FCW
0 - 0
MEN
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 3
MEN
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MEN
0 - 2
CHI
15%
24%
62%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MEN
3 - 0
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |