Lugano II vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KRE
0 - 0
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCG
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCB
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
YFJ
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MEN
2 - 1
RAP
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 1
MEN
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MEN
1 - 1
ZUG
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MEN
2 - 3
RAP
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
MEN
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |