Lugano II vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 4
CHI
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZOF
2 - 1
LUG
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
MEN
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MEN
2 - 1
SCH
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZUG
0 - 1
MEN
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MEN
1 - 2
CHU
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 1
MEN
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |