Lugano II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 3
LUG
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUG
4 - 0
SCB
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SCB
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
LUZ
29%
22%
49%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 3
DEL
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |