Lugano II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
WIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 0
LUG
48%
22%
29%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
YFJ
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
MEN
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 1
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |