Lugano II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCG
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BUO
2 - 1
LUG
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 2
YFJ
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ZUG
2 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 3
TUG
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
4 - 2
ESC
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCB
2 - 1
LUZ
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 5
FCG
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
BUO
1 - 1
LUZ
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |