Lugano II vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 0
LUG
73%
17%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
TUG
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +7 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
4 - 3
LIN
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
UZW
4 - 2
LIN
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 2
WIN
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
STG
3 - 1
LIN
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 2
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |