Lugano II vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LUG
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GOL
6 - 0
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
LUZ
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
20%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 0
IBA
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
TAV
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |