Lugano II vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 0
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 3
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FCG
3 - 2
LUG
77%
14%
8%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 2
IBA
37%
25%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 2
TEA
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
HOC
5 - 2
IBA
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 1
IBA
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |