Lugano II vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PER
3 - 3
LUG
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 3
TAV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
5 - 1
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 0
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -3 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
SAR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |