Lugano II vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
59.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 1
PER
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
BRU
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PER
2 - 6
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
4 - 0
BRU
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 4
GOL
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |